calender_icon.png 29 October, 2025 | 4:26 AM

‘Rate cut likely by year-end, GST cut to boost demand’

20-10-2025 12:00:00 AM

An additional policy rate cut is expected before the end of the year, alongside recent GST simplifications, indicating that peak fiscal consolidation is behind us. These factors, combined with domestic regulatory easing, are likely to foster a gradual recovery in credit demand, said a report by Goldman Sachs, ANI reported. 

"We expect an additional policy rate cut before year-end, and the recent GST simplification signals that peak fiscal consolidation is behind us. We expect this, along with domestic regulatory easing, to foster a gradual recovery in credit demand," the report added. 

The report noted that the RBI's recent measures should ease supply-side credit conditions; however, the extent of incremental lending will depend on demand dynamics in the broader economy. 

In a unanimous decision, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the RBI kept the policy repo rate unchanged at 5.5 per cent in its policy announcement after the last meeting. 

"External headwinds continue to weigh on India's outlook, including tighter US immigration costs for H-1B visas that affect Indian IT services, in addition to elevated US tariff on Indian goods; these factors could temper credit demand alongside broader macro uncertainty," the report added.  However, with a good monsoon and rationalisation of the GST rate, the central bank revised the growth projections for FY26 upwards.