calender_icon.png 2 February, 2026 | 3:27 AM

Experts see Budget 2026 as blueprint for the long term

02-02-2026 12:40:45 AM

Long-term Nation Building Focus

Budget 2026–27 seen as a shift from incremental reforms to long-horizon structural transformation aligned with Viksit Bharat vision.

“Three Kartavya” Framework 

Emphasis on economic growth, citizen capability building and inclusive development.

High Capex with Fiscal Discipline 

Record public capital expenditure of Rs. 12.2 lakh crore while maintaining a 4.3% fiscal deficit target.

Policy Evolution

Move away from welfare-centric and tax-relief budgets (2016–25) toward technology, urbanisation, sustainability and competitiveness, with no change in income-tax slabs.

Strategic Technology Push

Semiconductor Mission 2.0 (Rs. 40,000 crore) and rare-earth corridors to strengthen tech self-reliance and reduce import dependence.

Infrastructure & Connectivity 

9% rise in capex; focus on sustainable rail corridors, freight networks and urban logistics efficiency.

City Economic Regions (CERs)

Rs. 5,000 crore per region over five years to build plug-and-play urban growth clusters and balanced regional development. 

Green & Climate Integration

Green rail projects, coastal cargo promotion and eco-friendly chemical parks embed sustainability into core planning.

Industrial Cluster Revamp

Modernisation of 200 legacy clusters and new chemical parks to boost scale, productivity and global value-chain integration.

 Digital & Global Positioning

Tax exemption till 2047 for foreign cloud data centres, renewed maritime and logistics focus, and targeted MSME funds (₹10,000 crore) to build globally competitive enterprises.

A comprehensive review of the Union Budget 2026–27 by K. S. Aiyar & Co, BTA Consultants India Pvt. Ltd., India Law Alliance, and Protune KSA Consultants Pvt. Ltd. has identified ten major forward-looking trends that are expected to shape India’s economic, fiscal, and industrial direction over the long term. Presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, the budget is widely regarded as a decisive shift from incremental policy adjustments toward long-horizon nation building, closely aligned with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Viksit Bharat vision.

According to the expert assessment, Budget 2026 is structured around a “Three Kartavya” framework—accelerating economic growth, strengthening citizen capabilities, and ensuring inclusive development. This approach is reflected in a record public capital expenditure of Rs 12.2 lakh crore, while maintaining a fiscal deficit target of 4.3 per cent of GDP. The consultants note that this balance reinforces the government’s commitment to growth-led fiscal discipline rather than short-term populism.

When compared with Union Budgets between 2016 and 2025, the review highlights a clear evolution in policy orientation. Over the past decade, fiscal consolidation has been steadily pursued, with the deficit declining from above 5 per cent to around mid-4 per cent levels, even as capital expenditure expanded sharply from under Rs 3 lakh crore to over Rs 11 lakh crore. Earlier budgets largely prioritised rural welfare schemes, agricultural income support, MSME relief, and targeted tax concessions. Budget 2026, however, marks a shift toward advanced technology adoption, urban development, sustainability, and global competitiveness, while deliberately avoiding changes to personal income tax slabs.

One of the most significant transitions identified by the consultants is the accelerated push for strategic technology self-reliance. The launch of India Semiconductor Mission 2.0 with an allocation of Rs 40,000 crore, coupled with the development of rare earth corridors across four states, represents a sharper and more focused approach than earlier Make in India and production-linked incentive initiatives. Experts believe this emphasis on frontier technologies is essential for reducing import dependence and securing India’s technological autonomy over the long term.

Infrastructure development remains a central pillar of the growth strategy. Capital expenditure has risen by 9 per cent year-on-year to Rs 12.2 lakh crore. The budget’s proposal for seven sustainable passenger rail corridors and a dedicated east–west freight corridor signals a move away from a predominantly rural road-based model toward high-speed, green, and urban connectivity. According to the review, these investments are expected to enhance logistics efficiency, reduce transportation costs, and boost productivity in expanding urban centres.

A major structural departure from earlier budgets is the introduction of City Economic Regions (CERs). With a planned allocation of Rs 5,000 crore per region over five years, CERs are designed to create plug-and-play urban clusters that encourage balanced regional development. The consultants describe this as a shift away from welfare-led spatial planning toward productivity-driven urbanisation, which is critical for sustaining high economic growth over the long term.

The budget also places strong emphasis on environmentally sustainable growth. Green railway projects, a Coastal Cargo Promotion Scheme aimed at raising the share of inland and coastal waterways, and the establishment of chemical parks focused on eco-friendly manufacturing indicate a deeper integration of climate considerations into economic policy. The review notes that these measures build on earlier renewable energy initiatives while embedding sustainability into core infrastructure and industrial planning.

Industrial revitalisation through cluster-based development forms another key pillar of Budget 2026. Dedicated chemical parks and the rejuvenation of nearly 200 legacy industrial clusters are intended to modernise manufacturing by encouraging the adoption of advanced equipment, higher-value processes, and better integration with global value chains. Experts observe that this strategy goes beyond earlier MSME support measures by prioritising scale, productivity, and competitiveness rather than broad-based subsidies.

To strengthen India’s position in the global digital economy, the budget proposes a tax exemption until 2047 for foreign cloud service providers operating data centres in the country. According to the consultants, this move significantly extends previous foreign investment liberalisation efforts and positions India as a preferred destination for data infrastructure, artificial intelligence applications, and digital services.

Fiscal discipline continues to be a defining feature of the budget. Despite elevated public investment, the fiscal deficit target of 4.3 per cent reflects continuity in consolidation efforts. The absence of income tax slab changes underscores a policy shift from short-term tax relief toward stability, certainty, and simplification of compliance, which the experts believe is essential for sustaining revenue growth over the long term.

Maritime and logistics efficiency has received renewed policy focus. The budget’s emphasis on coastal shipping, container manufacturing, and port-led development marks a strategic shift away from land-centric logistics models. These measures are expected to reduce trade costs, improve supply-chain resilience, and support export-led growth.

Support for MSMEs remains an important component, but with sharper targeting. A Rs 10,000 crore SME Growth Fund and sector-specific initiatives, including in biopharma, are aimed at creating “champion MSMEs” capable of scaling operations, driving innovation, and generating sustainable employment. This represents a move away from broad credit guarantees toward performance-driven enterprise development.

The consultants conclude that Union Budget 2026–27 represents a clear pivot toward long-term structural transformation. By combining fiscal prudence with focused investments in technology, infrastructure, sustainability, urban development, and industrial competitiveness, the budget lays out a credible roadmap for shaping India’s economic trajectory over the long term.